METS POWERBALL NUMBERS: 77, 81, 87, 91

As you know I made reference to Joe Mc Donald proclaiming on PRO BASEBALL CENTRAL last Thursday that the Mets will be a 90+ win team in 2010. His reasoning was that Oliver Perez will revert to his Good Ollie personality. I did say, it was encouraging news that OP, under the urging of both Scott Boras and Carlos Beltran, has spent the off season in Arizona, training hard to lose both the stigma of bring mentality and physically inept to pitch in the big leagues.

I’ve been looking around at the team as it now is constructed and have tried to make the case for 90 wins. It all starts of course with the pitching staff:

#1 Santana 15-17 wins

#2 Pelf/Joel Piniero/Bronson Arroyo/Aaron Harang/Gil Meche 10-12 wins

#3 Pelf/OP/Maine/Doug Davis/Jon Garland 8-10 wins

#4 one of the above at #3  8-10 wins

#5 Maine/Neise/Neve/Holt/Stoner/(Gulp!) Smoltz 8-10 wins

That comes to 49-59 wins from your starting rotation

Now from the seven relievers you figure will be in the pen:

Frankie Rodz

Ryoto Igarashi

Bobby Parnell

Kelvin Escobar

Sean Green

Pedro Feliciano

Lefty to be named later

You figure you can and average of 4 wins from each. That’s an additional 28 wins, brining my projection to 77 to 87 wins.

Now say I leave the bullpen projection alone but I up the ante on the #2 pitcher to 12-14 wins and the #3 to 10-12 wins, that would put the team’ record between 81-91 wins. Of course all this is predicated on the Mets signing one of the remaining free agent pitchers, of which just Joel Piniero is desirable if he comes cheap or can trade for the one of the Arroyo/Harang/Meche troika.

So what do you think? Am I out of mind thinking there is a way the Mets could be a 90 win team and contend? Am I drinking the Omar/Jeffey Kool Aid? Has Joe Mac brainwashed me?  Or am I just tired of freezing my ass off this winter and dying for spring and summer and baseball season? Could be the cold has made me delirious.

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Comments

  1. Mikey boy324 says:

    If the mets add a legitemite number 2 and sign Hudson I think they can defintly win 90 games if they sign a scrub like garland or even worse piniero and keep the gimp then they are no better then a 500 team

  2. With no changes or additions (and everyone staying healthy), I see this team with 83-85 wins. Add Piniero and one more pitcher, I can go mid-high 80′s. Dump Gimp and get Phillips or Hudson plus the 2 pitchers, I can see 90.

    Did you see that reports are that Delgado is not moving well? Omar, quick, change it to a four-year deal!!!!

  3. May I recommend some gin with that Koolaid. No sane person can predict this team to be a 90 win team. You might as well predict the Pirates are going to be .500 while you are at it. They have not fixed the problem that is facing this team “THE ORGANIZATION AND PEOPLE RUNNING IT”. As of right now you have no second basemen no first basemen no catcher a SS we hope is healed a CF we hope is healed a third baseman we hope can hit again and no pitching not to mention surgery to Ollie and Johan. Otherwise everything is perfect. Thinking 90 wins is just being positive for the sake of being positive. If it makes you feel good fine, but it’s not going to get you anywhere.

  4. My Post from the other day:

    May I recommend some gin with that Koolaid. No sane person can predict this team to be a 90 win team. You might as well predict the Pirates are going to be .500 while you are at it. They have not fixed the problem that is facing this team “THE ORGANIZATION AND PEOPLE RUNNING IT”. As of right now you have no second basemen no first basemen no catcher a SS we hope is healed a CF we hope is healed a third baseman we hope can hit again and no pitching not to mention surgery to Ollie and Johan. Otherwise everything is perfect. Thinking 90 wins is just being positive for the sake of being positive. If it makes you feel good fine, but it’s not going to get you anywhere.

    And if I could dig up my posts from 5 years ago they would say. NO TEAM with Beltran as their centerpice will ever win a world series ever.

  5. thanks for the kick in the balls Paul may I have another

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